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combustible/[kəm'bʌstəbl]/ a. 易燃的, 燃烧性的, 易动激情的 n. 易燃物, 可燃...

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All markets experience cycles of good times and bad times, whether you are talking about the stockmarket, currency market, commodity market or the local fruit and vegetable market.

  There will be optimistic times when prices are rising, and people are prepared to pay top dollar for everything, whether its shares or bananas, even though they may not be in the best shape. In these times, people have money, and are often a little complacent after several years of good times. They are quick to pull out the wallet or purse and hand over their hard earned cash.

  They don’t mind if the prices are a little bit more than they should be, or if the banana is a little bit bruised.

  Then, there will be times of pessimism, where people are extremely careful with their money. The highest quality shares or the best crop of bananas can still sell for much less than their true value, because all of a sudden people are focusing on the negatives. The bananas look smaller, or a different colour, or not as fresh. The company earnings didn’t grow as much as the company forecasted.

  The financial markets experience their own cycles of optimism and pessimism, but thankfully, they won’t all go through these cycles at the same time.

  Most people can tell you that the sharemarkets have had a bad year in 2008, losing around half their value from their 2007 highs. But fewer people can tell you that the US Dollar has had a bumper year, gaining 25% from its April lows.

  So while share investors had a year of pain, most currency traders would tell you that they have had a pretty good year.  

  The aim of the game in investing and trading is to make money – that’s the start and finish of it. We’re not here for an intellectual exercise, or to impress anybody. At least I’m not!

  Your focus should be on getting the best returns on your investments. If the sharemarket is falling, you need to either learn how to make money in a bear market by short selling or using leveraged products such as CFDs, Options or Futures, or you need to learn how to trade in other markets.

  Eventually, you will find a balance of markets to trade, and when the sharemarket isn’t trending strongly, you can look to trade other markets.

  Trading in commodities, or currencies, or any other market involves the same principles as trading in shares – we look to buy low and sell high! And the best thing is, the same technical analysis techniques apply to each market. So once you have studied Gann Analysis, for example, you can apply it to commodities just as easily as you could apply it to BHP or Commonwealth Bank shares.

  Ask yourself which markets you are trading at the moment, and whether they are producing satisfactory results for you,

  If not, perhaps its time to start looking at other alternatives...

  不管你是否讨论股票市场,流通市场,日用品市场以及当地的水果蔬菜市场,所有的市场都经历过好时期和坏时期的周期循环。

  当价格上升时将是乐观时期,人们为一切东西付高昂的价钱,不管是股票还是香蕉,即使它们不是最好的。在这个时候,人们手中有钱,在几年好时光后时常有些洋洋得意。他们很轻易的拿出钱包或钱夹,把自己辛辛苦苦挣来的钱移交他人。

  他们不计较东西的标价是否比实际价格贵了点,或者香蕉是否有点压坏。

  然后,在悲观时期,这时人们很小心翼翼的用钱,高质量的股票和收成很好的香蕉仍旧以比它应所值价格还底的价格卖出 ,因为人们突然把所有的目光聚集在它的缺点上面了。如这些香蕉看起来个头不大,或颜色不大好,或不新鲜。公司收入并没有达到预期的那样。

  金融市场经过了它自有的乐观时期和悲观时期的周期循环,但幸运的是,它们没有在同一时间同时经历这些时期。

  许多人告诉你在08年他们经历很糟糕的股票市场,几乎失去他们在07年最高收入一半的价值。但是很少人告诉你美元处于缓冲年,他们已从四月低谷中开槽25%。

  因此当股票投资者经历一年的苦痛,许多流通业的商人将告诉你他们过个相当不错的一年。

  投资和贸易的目的是挣钱,这是它的开始和终结。我们在这儿不是为了做智力练习,或者给某人留下印象。至少我不是!

  你的目光应该聚焦在从你的投资中获得自大的利益。如果在股票市场失败了,你应该学会如何在白手起家的情况下贩卖短缺物品或利用杠杆商品挣钱,像CFDs,经营权,期货,或者你应该学习在其他市场上进行交易。

  最终,你会发现一个市场平衡点进行贸易,当股票市场的升值趋势并不是强劲时,你可以寻找别的市场进行贸易。

  日用品交易市场,流通交易市场,或其他市场包含着和股票交易一样的原则,我们底买进高卖出!最重要的事是这种技巧适用于所有市场。因此当你学习了Gann 的分析,例如,你可以把它像应用于BHP和联邦银行的股票那样容易的应用于日用品上。

  问问你自己,此刻你想从事哪些市场交易,这些交易是否能够给你带来满意的结果,如果不能,也许应该去寻找其他的办法了。
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